Friday, August 01, 2008

He'll need all the German and French votes he can get

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109177/Gallup-Daily-Obama-45-McCain-44.aspx

Hilarious. Go on a World Victory Tour, get 200,000 Germans to come worship you, and watch your US poll ratings plummet. Couldn't happen to a nicer chap. All I can say is, I don't think this is short term. It reflects a long slow slide from utter dominance at the beginning of the Democratic primaries (I remember Obama polled 73% approval rating at one point) to todays middling mediocrity.

McCains support has been amazingly stable- but then the people who decided to vote for him are not wishy washy head-in-the-clouds teenagers or liberals. I'd count on virtually all McCains supporters turning out on a freezing, rainy November day; Obamas ditzy cheerleaders not so much.

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